in silico
Phase 1 : In Silico Validation
- Objectif
- To rapidly and cost-effectively test the core genomic predictions (BGC density and diversity) using existing public genome data, and to de-risk the phylogenetic matching strategy before any wet-lab work.
- Coût estimé
- €500-2000
- Durée estimée
- 4-6 weeks
- Critères de réussite
- Effect size of BGC density difference (ant vs. soil) · ≥1.3-fold increase in mean BGC density in ant-associated strains (preliminary, less strict than final 1.5-fold due to heterogeneous public data) · (Mixed-effects negative binomial regression coefficient; calculate fold-change from model estimates.)
- Effect size of BGC diversity difference (ant vs. soil) · ≥1.2-fold increase in mean Shannon diversity index (H') in ant-associated strains · (Mann-Whitney U test; calculate fold-change from medians.)
- Phylogenetic confounding · No significant phylogenetic signal in BGC density (Pagel’s lambda < 0.5, p > 0.05) · (Phylogenetic generalized least squares (PGLS) using “phylolm” package.)
- On continue si
- Both effect size criteria are met (≥1.3-fold density and ≥1.2-fold diversity) AND phylogenetic confounding is low. This validates the core premise and justifies wet-lab investment.
- On arrête si
- Effect sizes are <1.2-fold for density or <1.1-fold for diversity, OR strong phylogenetic confounding is detected. The hypothesis is likely false or the public data is too noisy.
- On réoriente si
- Effect sizes are in the right direction but not significant. Consider: (a) expanding the search to include unpublished genomes via direct requests, (b) refining the phylogenetic matching to a specific subclade, or (c) focusing Phase 2 on a smaller, more controlled set of strains.
- Risques
- Insufficient number of high-quality ant-associated Pseudonocardia genomes in public databases.Probabilité : mediumParade : Include genomes from closely related genera (e.g., Actinokineospora) as an initial screen. If insufficient, proceed to Phase 2 with a smaller pilot set (5+5 strains) and use Phase 1 as a methodological validation only.
- Heterogeneity in genome assembly quality and BGC prediction accuracy across public datasets.Probabilité : mediumParade : Strict quality filtering (CheckM). Use antiSMASH with “--borderpredict” and manually inspect a subset of BGCs. Restrict analysis to high-quality assemblies (contig N50 > 100kb).
- The phylogenetic signal is too strong, making it impossible to distinguish ecological origin from evolutionary history.Probabilité : mediumParade : Use PGLS to explicitly model and account for phylogeny. If the signal is too strong, the hypothesis may need to be reframed to focus on recent divergence or specific BGC families.